Dan Butler gives his tips for Wolves Friday night game against Fulham.
After somehow tipping 3 winners for our last match at Molineux (and backing none of them myself) I’m hoping to continue the good run with a couple more winners as Fulham come to town. Same warning applies, I am not a professional tipster by any means, although after the other week I may have a future in this….anyway here are a few to consider. As always, odds stated come from Skybet.
Wolves to win and over 3.5 goals
In recent years this game has basically guaranteed goals and I see no reason why this time should be any different. Our underlying attacking stats this season are excellent, we’re creating high quality chances every game and quite frequently converting low quality ones (Bonatini has a habit of scoring hard chances and missing easy ones). Burton away was the only game where a dominant performance has been properly reflected in the scoreline and I feel like we are due to batter someone. That team may not be Fulham, but I don’t think they’ll be able to keep us out for 90 mins and if we score first and make them chase the game then on the counter we could score at will. For what it’s worth I hope Fulham are the victims of said battering, I’m still not over that 5-0 loss from Terry Connor’s stint in charge.
It’s also worth mentioning that Fulham are not the same team as last season. From February onwards they were the most exciting team in the league to watch, their xG numbers were excellent and they were scoring goals at will on their way to the Play-Offs. This season’s team is not creating chances at the same rate and they seem to be lacking a true goalscorer. They deserve respect, but this is one of those games where you can look at whatever you want – stats, form, previous clashes and you should come to the conclusion of a home win plus goals (consider backing 0-0 now I’ve said this). Wolves to win and over 3.5 goals is 100/30.
Any time goalscorer tips
Ivan Cavaleiro scored in both games against Fulham last season and as we get closer to Christmas and games start to pile up, rotation of the front 3 is going to be important. Given that Cavaleiro only played an hour against Norwich and around the same against QPR we could well see him play up front in a fluid and interchangeable front 3, if that’s the case then I think we’ll create enough high quality chances for him to continue his decent goalscoring run against Fulham. Cavaleiro is 9/4 to score any time and 13/2 to bag the first goal of the game.
I’m going to make it a weekly occurrence to mention any former Wolves players who could pop up with a goal against us. Normally in a betting sense whether you once played for the opposition has no bearing on the chances of you scoring against them, but this is Wolves and if you once donned the Old Gold and Black then you’re a decent bet to come back and haunt us.
Step forward therefore, Kevin McDonald. The worrying part of this is that McDonald is actually a decent player, when we sold him to Fulham we struggled massively. His composure and passing range in the middle of the park were sorely missed and we never really replaced him until this season. He’s also capable of hitting the target from range and if I’m honest I’m still not totally sold on Ruddy, he’s definitely got a mistake in him and you could point to quite a few instances this season where he’s been at fault for goals. Admittedly this is a longshot, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if McDonald was to pop up with a goal, if you fancy it he’s 7/1 to score in 90 minutes.