In the start of a new feature, pundit Luke Thompson gives us his bets of the week.
Hello and welcome to my first blog for Wolves Fancast for the 2015/16 season. My blog will be all about Betting, Betting and more Betting.
I, like I’m sure many of you out there, love a bet and the highs it brings of a late goal landing your five team accumulator whilst going through the pain of a last minute goal screwing up that a well thought-out 7 team acca that was set to land you a nice couple of hundred quid.
So I’ve have been counting down the days for the start of the season so I can place my first accumulator in the hope of winning big. In this blog I will go through the highs and mainly lows of my betting experiences throughout the season, but hopefully, fingers crossed I will be celebrating more highs than lows.
So let’s start with some Wolves related bets. Let’s start with two bets that are very attractive to me. Firstly, WOLVES TO GET PROMOTED.
Now after the success of last season and the arrivals of Jed Wallace, Connor Coady, Adam Le Fondre and Sheyi Ojo fighting for first team spots I feel this will be a successful season for wolves and the price of 5/1 for wolves to gain promotion to the premier league is too good to miss. For the most optimistic of Wolves fans you can get odds of 16/1 on wolves to win the Championship title, now whilst I’m confident in us having a good season I think the league title may be a step to far so I will take the safer bet of 5/1 as that includes the top two positions and a playoff win.
For those who fancy a different type of bet you can get 5/2 on wolves to be the top midlands club, in a market that includes Derby 10/11, Forest 7/2 and Blues 11/1 I don’t see that as a bad bet as its a market we won last season, so if you feel we can repeat that again this season surely that’s tempting.
Another bet I like the look of is the man that is Benik Afobe to be Championship top goal scorer. After the success of Afobe last season following his arrival from MK Dons in January which saw him bag 13 goals in 21 games for Wolves I sense another successful season in front of goal for the former Arsenal man and with him being 9/1 favourite for him to bag the Championship golden boot I think that’s a cracking bet as if he can remain fit I don’t think he will be too far off the 30 goal mark.
Now onto Saturday, the day we have all been looking forward to pretty much since the final whistle at Wolves vs Milwall. Wolves travel to Blackburn Rovers for the Championship curtain raiser for the third time in 12 years.
We travel to Blackburn high on confidence from last season and with Blackburn currently undergoing a transfer embargo and losing important players such as Gestede, Cairney and King I can see us travelling back down the M6 with all 3 points so the 15/8 on a wolves win looks very appealing indeed. It’s also a ground on which we have won the last three meetings played at Ewood Park.
However our overall record at Ewood Park reads Won 6 Drew 3 Lost 17 scoring 22 and shipping 54 goals in the process. I’m still confident Wolves can pull one out the bag, that confident I like the look of a 3-1 wolves win at odds of 22/1. For those who enjoy backing the first Goal scorer in the Game, that is priced at Rhodes 5/1, Afobe 11/2 Le Fondre 13/2 Dicko 13/2 and Chris Brown 7/1, First goal scorer is a market I tend to avoid but if I were to have a bet on it then surely I would have to back the machine that is Benik Afobe if you like the sound of the double of Benik Afobe first Goal scorer and wolves to win 3-1 you can get 80/1 but it is a market I generally try to avoid.
It’s time to move onto my accumulators and who I will be backing on the opening day of the season. I tend to pick a couple of accumulators each weekend, a couple at relatively short odds which I in my own mind see as bankers and a couple at ridiculously long odds in the dream of turning 1 English pound into several hundred. So my first pick I’ve gone for a 17/1 shout.
This pick includes Everton to ease past premier league new boys Watford, Doncaster to bury League 1 new boys Bury (terrible pun alert) even with Bury’s strike force that includes the one and only Leon Clarke. I think last season’s league 2 play off final losers Wycombe will beat York and Sheffield United will win well against Gillingham at the Priestfield Stadium. Now on paper it doesn’t look a bad bet but no doubt it will be seeing my bin come Saturday evening.
Now for my long shot no hoper which no doubt will be dead and buried by ten past three but I can live in hope that I’ll be celebrating a big winner.
For this bet I will be backing Villa 11/4 away at Bournemouth. The Mighty Wolves 15/8 away at Blackburn, again I’ll be adding Sheffield United 6/5 and Wycombe 6/5 as from my banker bet but I’m going to add recently relegated Leyton orient 11/10 to bulldoze past conference winners Barnet. Now this bet comes in at a lot more handsome 245/1 so the odds are pretty big but as I always say to convince myself in putting on a long shot…..it’s got to be worth a quid aye it?!
Another little bet I will be having is Villa and wolves to win against Bournemouth and Blackburn respectively but with all four teams scoring in the process which pays 43/1.
I would just like to add that all odds were provided by Bet365 and were correct at the time of writing, if you like the look of my bets and fancy a flutter on them yourself please do not hold me responsible for if/when they fail miserably and leave you disappointed I will not be held responsible.
Thank you for taking the time out to read my blog I hope you’ve enjoyed it. Please feel free to share any winnings! Also please, please bet responsibly and do not bet what you can’t afford to lose.
Let us know what you think of Luke’s flutters and who you’re backing this week on twitter, facebook and on the comments below.